In an unexpected turn, Nvidia, the titan of semiconductor chips and AI technology, has decided to reenter the Chinese market, reversing its previous withdrawal plans announced in June. This move, which involves filing an application to resume sales of its H20 AI chip in China, is intricately linked to the ongoing trade discussions between the US and China over rare-earth elements (REEs), as revealed by US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.
Rare-earth elements, such as lanthanum and cerium, predominantly mined in China, are indispensable in various technologies, including electric vehicle batteries. These elements have become a pivotal issue in the current trade negotiations between the two economic superpowers.
AMD, another tech giant, is also gearing up to restart sales of its MI308 AI chip in China, indicating a broader trend in the tech industry's approach to the Chinese market. However, this development has not been met with universal approval. Congressman Raja Krishnamoorthi expressed his disapproval, stating that the decision could potentially provide advanced technologies to foreign adversaries, contradicting the administration's stance on export controls for China.
Despite these concerns, Lutnick dismissed the severity of the situation, stating on CNBC that China would only receive Nvidia's "fourth best" chip. He clarified, "We don’t sell them our best stuff, not our second best stuff, not even our third best."
This news surfaces amidst rumors that Nvidia was planning to design a new AI chip tailored for the Chinese market to circumvent US chip export regulations. The US is currently in the process of reevaluating its AI chip export rules, following the Trump administration's rescinding of the Biden administration’s AI Diffusion Rule in May, with no formal update since.
There have been reports suggesting that the Trump administration was considering additional restrictions on AI chip exports to countries like Thailand and Malaysia to curb smuggling, as reported by Bloomberg last week. In response, Malaysia implemented trade permits on US-made AI chips on Monday.
The fluctuating landscape of US-China trade relations, particularly in the realm of AI technology, is further complicated by the strategic importance of rare-earth elements. As the US continues to navigate its export policies, the tech industry's response to these geopolitical shifts will undoubtedly have far-reaching implications for the global market.